Updated

Nigeria Premier Football League · Matchday 11

Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC

· Enyimba International Stadium, Aba

Alin prediction Enyimba to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
EnyimbaDrawKun Khalifat FC
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.83.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC preview

In the Nigeria Premier Football League, Enyimba faces Kun Khalifat FC with a 60% chance of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 12% probability. Enyimba's expected goals stand at 1.83, while Kun Khalifat FC has 0.83.

However, the recent form shows Enyimba with two wins in their last five matches, while Kun Khalifat FC has three wins in their last five. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals is 50%, and both teams to score is at 48%. A surprise result could come from Kun Khalifat FC's recent performance, which includes a win against Enyimba in their last head-to-head.

Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceEnyimbaDrawKun Khalifat FC
Model60%24%15%
Market———
Published60%24%15%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.83.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Enyimba and Kun Khalifat FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.83Enyimba
0.83Kun Khalifat FC
Total expected goals
2.66
Attack rating (Enyimba / Kun Khalifat FC)
1.13 / 1.10
Defence rating (Enyimba / Kun Khalifat FC)
1.21 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.0% 4.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 1 11.8% 11.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 2 11.8% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 3 7.2% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%

Rows: Enyimba goals. Columns: Kun Khalifat FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
48%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Enyimba60%1.66
Draw24%4.09
Kun Khalifat FC15%6.51
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550%2.01
Under 2.550%1.99
Both teams to scoreYes48%2.07
No52%1.93
Double chance1X (Enyimba or draw)85%1.18
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Kun Khalifat FC)40%2.51
Handicap -1Enyimba win by 2+36%2.78
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Enyimba and Kun Khalifat FC recent form

Enyimba 2W 2D 2L
Kun Khalifat FC 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Enyimba at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Kun Khalifat FC away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.60
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Enyimba at home only, Kun Khalifat FC away only.

Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Enyimba 0 · draws 1 · Kun Khalifat FC 1.

EnyimbaDrawsKun Khalifat FC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-01Enyimba1-1Kun Khalifat FCNigeria Premier Football League
2025-10-12Kun Khalifat FC1-0EnyimbaNigeria Premier Football League

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Enyimba to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Enyimba