Kun Khalifat FC vs Kano Pillars preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League fixture, Kun Khalifat FC has a 48% chance to win against Kano Pillars, who have a 20% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 17% of the time in our model. Kun Khalifat FC's expected goals stand at 1.23, while Kano Pillars are at 0.70.
However, the prediction could change if both teams to score hits, which is at 37%. Additionally, Kun Khalifat FC's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Kano Pillars have 2 wins in the same period. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Kano Pillars: model vs market
| Source | Kun Khalifat FC | Draw | Kano Pillars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kun Khalifat FC and Kano Pillars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.93
- Attack rating (Kun Khalifat FC / Kano Pillars)
- 0.95 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Kun Khalifat FC / Kano Pillars)
- 1.11 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Kano Pillars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kun Khalifat FC goals. Columns: Kano Pillars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Kano Pillars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kun Khalifat FC vs Kano Pillars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kun Khalifat FC | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Kano Pillars | 20% | 5.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.71 |
| No | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kun Khalifat FC or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Kano Pillars) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kun Khalifat FC win by 2+ | 22% | 4.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kun Khalifat FC and Kano Pillars recent form
Kun Khalifat FC
3W 1D 2L
Kano Pillars
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kun Khalifat FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Kano Pillars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kun Khalifat FC at home only, Kano Pillars away only.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Kano Pillars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kun Khalifat FC 1 · draws 0 · Kano Pillars 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Kun Khalifat FC | 2-1 | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-12-07 | Kano Pillars | 2-1 | Kun Khalifat FC | Nigeria Premier Football League |
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Before and after this match
- Kun Khalifat FC, previous: Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC: odds and pick
- Kano Pillars, previous: Kano Pillars – Nasarawa United, 2026-11-01