Abia Warriors vs Doma United preview
Abia Warriors face Doma United with a 51% chance for Abia to win, compared to 20% for Doma. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability. Abia Warriors have an expected goals figure of 1.50, while Doma United sits at 0.85.
Both teams to score sits at 46%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 42%. Recent form shows Abia Warriors with L-D-D-L-W-L, while Doma United has D-D-L-W-L-D. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Factors like a sudden change in form or key player performances could influence the outcome.
Abia Warriors vs Doma United: model vs market
| Source | Abia Warriors | Draw | Doma United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.03.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Abia Warriors and Doma United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Abia Warriors / Doma United)
- 0.86 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Abia Warriors / Doma United)
- 1.45 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Abia Warriors vs Doma United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Abia Warriors goals. Columns: Doma United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Abia Warriors vs Doma United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Abia Warriors vs Doma United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abia Warriors | 48% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Doma United | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Abia Warriors or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Doma United) | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Handicap -1 | Abia Warriors win by 2+ | 26% | 3.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Abia Warriors and Doma United recent form
Abia Warriors
1W 2D 3L
Doma United
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Abia Warriors at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Doma United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Abia Warriors at home only, Doma United away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Kun Khalifat FC v Kano Pillars — match page 2026-11-06
- Barau FC v Shooting Stars — match page 2026-11-08
- Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nasarawa United vs Plateau United — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ranchers Bees vs Enyimba 2026-11-08
- Enugu Rangers v Kwara United — match page 2026-11-08
- Warri Wolves vs Katsina United — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Abia Warriors, previous: Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors: odds and pick
- Doma United, previous: Doma United v Ikorodu City analysis
- Doma United, next: Ranchers Bees vs Doma United prediction