Warri Wolves vs Katsina United preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League, Warri Wolves face Katsina United with a 54% probability for a Warri Wolves win and a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 18%. Warri Wolves have an expected goals figure of 1.36 compared to Katsina United's 0.59, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if both teams manage to score, as the probability for "both teams to score" stands at 34%. Additionally, while the model suggests a low chance of "Over 2.5 goals" at 31%, any unexpected offensive performance from Katsina United could challenge the expected outcome.
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United: model vs market
| Source | Warri Wolves | Draw | Katsina United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.62.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Warri Wolves and Katsina United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.99
- Attack rating (Warri Wolves / Katsina United)
- 0.73 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Warri Wolves / Katsina United)
- 0.77 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Warri Wolves goals. Columns: Katsina United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Warri Wolves vs Katsina United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warri Wolves | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Katsina United | 16% | 6.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.81 |
| No | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Warri Wolves or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Katsina United) | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | Warri Wolves win by 2+ | 27% | 3.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Warri Wolves and Katsina United recent form
Warri Wolves
1W 3D 2L
Katsina United
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Warri Wolves at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
Katsina United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Warri Wolves at home only, Katsina United away only.
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Warri Wolves 2 · draws 0 · Katsina United 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Warri Wolves | 2-0 | Katsina United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-08-24 | Katsina United | 0-1 | Warri Wolves | Nigeria Premier Football League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Kun Khalifat FC v Kano Pillars — match page 2026-11-06
- Abia Warriors vs Doma United 2026-11-08
- Barau FC v Shooting Stars — match page 2026-11-08
- Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nasarawa United vs Plateau United — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ranchers Bees vs Enyimba 2026-11-08
- Enugu Rangers v Kwara United — match page 2026-11-08
- Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Warri Wolves, previous: Plateau United – Warri Wolves, 2026-11-01
- Katsina United, previous: Katsina United v Sporting Lagos analysis