Barau FC vs Shooting Stars preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League, Barau FC has a 67% chance to win against Shooting Stars, who have only a 10% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects Barau FC's expected goals of 1.86 compared to Shooting Stars' 0.60.
However, recent form shows Barau FC with four draws and a loss in their last five matches, while Shooting Stars have one win in their last six. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected outcomes, affecting predictions like Over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 39%.
Barau FC vs Shooting Stars: model vs market
| Source | Barau FC | Draw | Shooting Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.72.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Barau FC and Shooting Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Barau FC / Shooting Stars)
- 1.05 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Barau FC / Shooting Stars)
- 0.89 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Barau FC vs Shooting Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Barau FC goals. Columns: Shooting Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Barau FC vs Shooting Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Barau FC vs Shooting Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barau FC | 62% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Shooting Stars | 13% | 7.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| No | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Barau FC or draw) | 87% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Shooting Stars) | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Barau FC win by 2+ | 37% | 2.71 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Barau FC and Shooting Stars recent form
Barau FC
0W 5D 1L
Shooting Stars
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Barau FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shooting Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Barau FC at home only, Shooting Stars away only.
Barau FC vs Shooting Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Barau FC 0 · draws 0 · Shooting Stars 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Shooting Stars | 1-0 | Barau FC | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-12-14 | Barau FC | 0-1 | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Kun Khalifat FC v Kano Pillars — match page 2026-11-06
- Abia Warriors vs Doma United 2026-11-08
- Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nasarawa United vs Plateau United — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ranchers Bees vs Enyimba 2026-11-08
- Enugu Rangers v Kwara United — match page 2026-11-08
- Warri Wolves vs Katsina United — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Barau FC, previous: Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC prediction
- Shooting Stars, previous: Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors: odds and pick