Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League, Shooting Stars have a 67% probability to win against Abia Warriors, who sit at 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 15% chance according to our model. Shooting Stars have an expected goals figure of 1.92, while Abia Warriors sit at 0.62.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Shooting Stars have drawn their last two matches and lost three of their last six, while Abia Warriors have won only once in their last six games. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 47%, and both teams to score stands at 40%, indicating that while Shooting Stars are favored, the match could still be competitive.
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors: model vs market
| Source | Shooting Stars | Draw | Abia Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 67% | 22% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.62.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Shooting Stars and Abia Warriors expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.54
- Attack rating (Shooting Stars / Abia Warriors)
- 1.08 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Shooting Stars / Abia Warriors)
- 1.20 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Shooting Stars goals. Columns: Abia Warriors goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 67% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 | |
| Abia Warriors | 10% | 9.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.47 |
| No | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Shooting Stars or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Abia Warriors) | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shooting Stars win by 2+ | 42% | 2.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Shooting Stars and Abia Warriors recent form
Shooting Stars
1W 3D 2L
Abia Warriors
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Shooting Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Abia Warriors away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Shooting Stars at home only, Abia Warriors away only.
Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Shooting Stars 1 · draws 0 · Abia Warriors 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Abia Warriors | 2-0 | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-10-19 | Shooting Stars | 2-0 | Abia Warriors | Nigeria Premier Football League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Doma United v Ikorodu City — match page 2026-10-31
- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees 2026-11-01
- Kano Pillars v Nasarawa United — match page 2026-11-01
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance 2026-11-01
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Shooting Stars, previous: Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars prediction
- Abia Warriors, previous: Abia Warriors – Niger Tornadoes, 2026-10-25