Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League fixture, Kun Khalifat FC has a strong 75% probability to win against Inter Lagos, who have just a 7% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, reflecting Kun Khalifat's expected goals of 2.25 compared to Inter Lagos's 0.57.
However, the confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. While there is a 53% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance for both teams to score, the recent form shows Kun Khalifat FC with mixed results and Inter Lagos struggling, which could affect the outcome.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos: model vs market
| Source | Kun Khalifat FC | Draw | Inter Lagos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kun Khalifat FC and Inter Lagos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.84
- Attack rating (Kun Khalifat FC / Inter Lagos)
- 1.11 / 0.70
- Defence rating (Kun Khalifat FC / Inter Lagos)
- 1.20 / 1.41
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kun Khalifat FC goals. Columns: Inter Lagos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kun Khalifat FC | 77% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.98 | |
| Inter Lagos | 6% | 16.96 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.70 |
| No | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kun Khalifat FC or draw) | 94% | 1.06 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Inter Lagos) | 23% | 4.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kun Khalifat FC win by 2+ | 55% | 1.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kun Khalifat FC and Inter Lagos recent form
Kun Khalifat FC
2W 1D 3L
Inter Lagos
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kun Khalifat FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Inter Lagos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kun Khalifat FC at home only, Inter Lagos away only.
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Before and after this match
- Kun Khalifat FC, previous: Doma United v Kun Khalifat FC analysis
- Inter Lagos, previous: Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United prediction