Katsina United vs Plateau United preview
In the fixture between Katsina United and Plateau United, the 1X2 probabilities show Katsina United at 54%, while Plateau United sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. The expected goals indicate Katsina United at 1.84 and Plateau United at 1.09, suggesting a stronger offensive performance from Katsina United.
Despite this, several factors could lead to a different outcome. Both teams to score has a probability of 57%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 56%. Recent form shows Katsina United with a mixed record of L-W-D-D-W-L, while Plateau United has performed better with L-W-L-W-D-W. This variance in form could influence the match's dynamics.
Katsina United vs Plateau United: model vs market
| Source | Katsina United | Draw | Plateau United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.09.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Katsina United and Plateau United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Katsina United / Plateau United)
- 1.14 / 1.40
- Defence rating (Katsina United / Plateau United)
- 1.26 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Katsina United vs Plateau United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Katsina United goals. Columns: Plateau United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Katsina United vs Plateau United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Katsina United vs Plateau United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Katsina United | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Plateau United | 21% | 4.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Katsina United or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Plateau United) | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Katsina United win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Katsina United and Plateau United recent form
Katsina United
2W 2D 2L
Plateau United
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Katsina United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Plateau United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Katsina United at home only, Plateau United away only.
Katsina United vs Plateau United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Katsina United 4 · draws 2 · Plateau United 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Katsina United | 0-0 | Plateau United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-08-31 | Plateau United | 1-2 | Katsina United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-01-30 | Katsina United | 1-0 | Plateau United | NPFL |
| 2024-09-08 | Plateau United | 1-0 | Katsina United | NPFL |
| 2024-03-17 | Katsina United | 2-1 | Plateau United | NPFL |
| 2023-11-01 | Plateau United | 1-0 | Katsina United | NPFL |
| 2022-07-10 | Katsina United | 2-0 | Plateau United | NPFL |
| 2022-03-06 | Plateau United | 1-0 | Katsina United | NPFL |
| 2021-06-09 | Plateau United | 2-0 | Katsina United | NPFL |
| 2021-01-23 | Katsina United | 0-0 | Plateau United | NPFL |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- Ranchers Bees vs Doma United — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Abia Warriors v Niger Tornadoes — match page 2026-10-25
- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United 2026-10-25
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page 2026-10-25
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos 2026-10-25
- Nasarawa United v Enyimba — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Katsina United, previous: Kano Pillars – Katsina United, 2026-10-18
- Plateau United, previous: Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos prediction