Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League fixture between Bendel Insurance and Rivers United, the 1X2 probabilities show Bendel Insurance at 36%, a draw at 31%, and Rivers United at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Bendel Insurance has an expected goals figure of 1.16, while Rivers United sits slightly lower at 1.10.
While both teams to score stands at 47%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 39%, the recent form could impact the outcome. Bendel Insurance has won 3 of their last 6 matches, while Rivers United has drawn 4 of their last 6. The head-to-head record shows Bendel Insurance with 1 win, 5 draws, and 3 losses in their last 9 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United: model vs market
| Source | Bendel Insurance | Draw | Rivers United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.26
- Attack rating (Bendel Insurance / Rivers United)
- 1.38 / 1.29
- Defence rating (Bendel Insurance / Rivers United)
- 1.38 / 0.57
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bendel Insurance goals. Columns: Rivers United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bendel Insurance | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Rivers United | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bendel Insurance or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Rivers United) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bendel Insurance win by 2+ | 15% | 6.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bendel Insurance and Rivers United recent form
Bendel Insurance
3W 0D 3L
Rivers United
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bendel Insurance at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Rivers United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bendel Insurance at home only, Rivers United away only.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Bendel Insurance 1 · draws 5 · Rivers United 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Rivers United | 3-1 | Bendel Insurance | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-11-06 | Bendel Insurance | 0-0 | Rivers United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-01-30 | Rivers United | 2-2 | Bendel Insurance | NPFL |
| 2024-09-08 | Bendel Insurance | 0-0 | Rivers United | NPFL |
| 2024-06-12 | Bendel Insurance | 2-1 | Rivers United | NPFL |
| 2023-12-28 | Rivers United | 1-1 | Bendel Insurance | NPFL |
| 2023-06-09 | Rivers United | 2-1 | Bendel Insurance | NPFL |
| 2019-05-26 | Rivers United | 1-0 | Bendel Insurance | NPFL |
| 2019-02-20 | Bendel Insurance | 1-1 | Rivers United | NPFL |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- Barau FC vs Kwara United — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Ikorodu City v Shooting Stars — match page 2026-10-25
- Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos 2026-10-25
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Before and after this match
- Bendel Insurance, previous: Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance prediction
- Bendel Insurance, next: Enugu Rangers – Bendel Insurance, 2026-11-11
- Rivers United, previous: Rivers United v Barau FC analysis