Nasarawa United vs Enyimba preview
In the match between Nasarawa United and Enyimba, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong lean towards Nasarawa United at 63%, while Enyimba sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.97 for Nasarawa United and 0.83 for Enyimba.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Nasarawa United has a mixed record with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 6 matches, while Enyimba has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses as well. Additionally, both teams to score is at 49%, indicating a possibility that Enyimba could find the net despite their lower expected goals.
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba: model vs market
| Source | Nasarawa United | Draw | Enyimba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67% | 22% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 67% | 22% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Nasarawa United and Enyimba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (Nasarawa United / Enyimba)
- 1.06 / 1.26
- Defence rating (Nasarawa United / Enyimba)
- 0.87 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nasarawa United goals. Columns: Enyimba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nasarawa United vs Enyimba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nasarawa United | 67% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.56 | |
| Enyimba | 11% | 9.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nasarawa United or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Enyimba) | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nasarawa United win by 2+ | 43% | 2.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nasarawa United and Enyimba recent form
Nasarawa United
3W 2D 1L
Enyimba
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nasarawa United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Enyimba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nasarawa United at home only, Enyimba away only.
Nasarawa United vs Enyimba head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Nasarawa United 0 · draws 2 · Enyimba 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Nasarawa United | 1-1 | Enyimba | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-09-07 | Enyimba | 0-0 | Nasarawa United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
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Before and after this match
- Nasarawa United, previous: Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United prediction
- Enyimba, previous: Enyimba vs Warri Wolves: odds and pick