Bryne vs Lyn: model vs market
| Source | Bryne | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Published | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Edge | +8% | -2% | -6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bryne below the model: +7.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Bryne vs Lyn odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bryne, 17 snapshots since 2026-09-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryne | 1.77 | 1.85 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 3.82 | 3.90 | +0.08 |
| Lyn | 3.85 | 3.57 | -0.28 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bryne and Lyn expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.43
- Attack rating (Bryne / Lyn)
- 1.08 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Bryne / Lyn)
- 0.58 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bryne vs Lyn score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bryne goals. Columns: Lyn goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bryne vs Lyn goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bryne vs Lyn
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bryne | 52% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Lyn | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bryne or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Lyn) | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bryne win by 2+ | 37% | 2.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Bryne and Lyn recent form
Bryne
4W 0D 2L
Lyn
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bryne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-4
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.55
- Goals against / match
- 1.45
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Lyn away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bryne at home only, Lyn away only.
Bryne vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Bryne 2 · draws 1 · Lyn 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Lyn | 0-3 | Bryne | Norway 1. Division |
| 2026-02-24 | Bryne | 3-3 | Lyn | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-10-26 | Lyn | 1-0 | Bryne | 1. Division |
| 2024-06-23 | Bryne | 5-3 | Lyn | 1. Division |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
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- Stromsgodset vs Asane — team news & stats 2026-10-03
- Haugesund vs Stabaek 2026-10-03
- hodd vs ODD Ballklubb — team news & stats 2026-10-03
- Moss v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-05