Strommen vs Sandnes ULF: model vs market
| Source | Strommen | Draw | Sandnes ULF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Published | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Edge | 0% | -4% | +3% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Strommen vs Sandnes ULF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Strommen, 15 snapshots since 2026-09-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strommen | 2.25 | 2.32 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.56 | +0.01 |
| Sandnes ULF | 2.74 | 2.67 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Strommen and Sandnes ULF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.99
- Attack rating (Strommen / Sandnes ULF)
- 1.03 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Strommen / Sandnes ULF)
- 1.32 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Strommen vs Sandnes ULF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Strommen goals. Columns: Sandnes ULF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Strommen vs Sandnes ULF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Strommen vs Sandnes ULF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Strommen | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Sandnes ULF | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.18 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.33 |
| No | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Strommen or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Sandnes ULF) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Strommen win by 2+ | 23% | 4.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Strommen and Sandnes ULF recent form
Strommen
3W 1D 2L
Sandnes ULF
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Strommen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-5
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 2.18
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandnes ULF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-7
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.18
- Goals against / match
- 1.91
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Strommen at home only, Sandnes ULF away only.
Strommen vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Strommen 2 · draws 3 · Sandnes ULF 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Sandnes ULF | 2-0 | Strommen | Norway 1. Division |
| 2021-10-16 | Strommen | 2-2 | Sandnes ULF | 1. Division |
| 2021-08-18 | Sandnes ULF | 3-2 | Strommen | 1. Division |
| 2020-10-28 | Sandnes ULF | 2-2 | Strommen | 1. Division |
| 2020-07-31 | Strommen | 4-0 | Sandnes ULF | 1. Division |
| 2019-04-14 | Strommen | 0-0 | Sandnes ULF | 1. Division |
| 2018-10-28 | Strommen | 2-1 | Sandnes ULF | 1. Division |
| 2018-04-02 | Sandnes ULF | 2-1 | Strommen | 1. Division |
| 2017-09-24 | Sandnes ULF | 2-0 | Strommen | 1. Division |
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