hodd vs ODD Ballklubb: model vs market
| Source | hodd | Draw | ODD Ballklubb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 18% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Published | 27% | 22% | 52% |
| Edge | -1% | -5% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 1.99.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices ODD Ballklubb below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
hodd vs ODD Ballklubb odds movement
Median bookmaker price on ODD Ballklubb, 15 snapshots since 2026-09-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| hodd | 3.92 | 3.40 | -0.52 |
| Draw | 4.17 | 4.00 | -0.17 |
| ODD Ballklubb | 1.67 | 1.83 | +0.16 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
hodd and ODD Ballklubb expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.85
- Attack rating (hodd / ODD Ballklubb)
- 1.07 / 1.45
- Defence rating (hodd / ODD Ballklubb)
- 1.22 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
hodd vs ODD Ballklubb score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: hodd goals. Columns: ODD Ballklubb goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
hodd vs ODD Ballklubb goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 82%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for hodd vs ODD Ballklubb
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | hodd | 27% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 | |
| ODD Ballklubb | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86% | 1.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 14% | 7.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82% | 1.22 |
| No | 18% | 5.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (hodd or draw) | 48% | 2.06 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or ODD Ballklubb) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | ODD Ballklubb win by 2+ | 38% | 2.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
hodd and ODD Ballklubb recent form
hodd
2W 1D 3L
ODD Ballklubb
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
hodd at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-3
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 11
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ODD Ballklubb away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 2.09
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: hodd at home only, ODD Ballklubb away only.
hodd vs ODD Ballklubb head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: hodd 2 · draws 1 · ODD Ballklubb 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | ODD Ballklubb | 0-0 | hodd | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-09-13 | ODD Ballklubb | 1-2 | hodd | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-05-25 | hodd | 3-1 | ODD Ballklubb | Norway 1. Division |
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