Stromsgodset vs Asane: model vs market
| Source | Stromsgodset | Draw | Asane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| Market | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| Published | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Stromsgodset vs Asane odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Stromsgodset, 15 snapshots since 2026-09-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | 1.10 | 1.12 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 9.10 | 8.50 | -0.60 |
| Asane | 14.00 | 13.00 | -1.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Stromsgodset and Asane expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.45
- Attack rating (Stromsgodset / Asane)
- 1.49 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Stromsgodset / Asane)
- 0.74 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stromsgodset vs Asane score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stromsgodset goals. Columns: Asane goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stromsgodset vs Asane goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stromsgodset vs Asane
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 82% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 11% | 8.98 | |
| Asane | 7% | 13.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 18% | 5.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stromsgodset or draw) | 93% | 1.08 |
| 12 (either side) | 89% | 1.13 | |
| X2 (draw or Asane) | 18% | 5.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win by 2+ | 63% | 1.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Stromsgodset and Asane recent form
Stromsgodset
5W 1D 0L
Asane
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stromsgodset at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-1
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 2.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Asane away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-7
- Win rate
- 9%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.45
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 11
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Stromsgodset at home only, Asane away only.
Stromsgodset vs Asane head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Stromsgodset 1 · draws 0 · Asane 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Asane | 0-3 | Stromsgodset | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Ranheim vs Egersund 2026-10-02
- Strommen v Sandnes ULF — match page 2026-10-03
- Haugesund vs Stabaek 2026-10-03
- hodd vs ODD Ballklubb — team news & stats 2026-10-03
- Bryne vs Lyn 2026-10-04
- Moss v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-05