Haugesund vs Lyn preview
In the upcoming match between Haugesund and Lyn, Haugesund has a strong 69% chance of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 3-1 at 7%. The model also predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 84% and both teams to score at 75%. Haugesund's recent form shows six consecutive wins, while Lyn has two wins in their last six matches.
However, the prediction could be impacted if Lyn improves their performance, as they have shown some resilience with a recent win and a draw. Additionally, Haugesund's confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast. This could lead to a different outcome than expected, particularly if Lyn can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Haugesund.
Haugesund vs Lyn: model vs market
| Source | Haugesund | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 16% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 69% | 16% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Haugesund and Lyn expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.63
- Attack rating (Haugesund / Lyn)
- 1.62 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Haugesund / Lyn)
- 0.78 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Haugesund vs Lyn score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Haugesund goals. Columns: Lyn goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Haugesund vs Lyn goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Haugesund vs Lyn
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 69% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.29 | |
| Lyn | 16% | 6.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84% | 1.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 16% | 6.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.33 |
| No | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Haugesund or draw) | 84% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Lyn) | 31% | 3.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win by 2+ | 50% | 1.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Haugesund and Lyn recent form
Haugesund
6W 0D 0L
Lyn
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Haugesund at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-1-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 3.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Lyn away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.58
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Haugesund at home only, Lyn away only.
Haugesund vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Haugesund 1 · draws 0 · Lyn 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Lyn | 2-4 | Haugesund | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Strommen v Asane — match page 2026-10-14
- Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger 2026-10-14
- Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Bryne vs Raufoss 2026-10-14
- hodd v Ranheim — match page 2026-10-14
- Moss vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Haugesund, previous: Sandnes ULF v Haugesund analysis
- Lyn, previous: Lyn v Stromsgodset analysis