Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF preview
In the upcoming match between Stabaek and Sandnes ULF, the 1X2 probabilities show Stabaek at 56%, while Sandnes ULF sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Stabaek has an expected goals figure of 2.29 compared to Sandnes ULF's 1.45, indicating a strong attacking potential for Stabaek.
However, Stabaek's recent form includes 5 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Both teams to score stands at 70%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 72%, suggesting a high likelihood of goals. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF: model vs market
| Source | Stabaek | Draw | Sandnes ULF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.45.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stabaek and Sandnes ULF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.75
- Attack rating (Stabaek / Sandnes ULF)
- 1.08 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Stabaek / Sandnes ULF)
- 0.91 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stabaek goals. Columns: Sandnes ULF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 | |
| Sandnes ULF | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.44 |
| No | 30% | 3.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stabaek or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Sandnes ULF) | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win by 2+ | 35% | 2.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stabaek and Sandnes ULF recent form
Stabaek
1W 0D 5L
Sandnes ULF
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stabaek at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-0-2
- Win rate
- 82%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.27
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandnes ULF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Stabaek at home only, Sandnes ULF away only.
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Stabaek 1 · draws 0 · Sandnes ULF 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Sandnes ULF | 0-1 | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Strommen v Asane — match page 2026-10-14
- Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger 2026-10-14
- Haugesund v Lyn — match page 2026-10-14
- Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Bryne vs Raufoss 2026-10-14
- hodd v Ranheim — match page 2026-10-14
- Moss vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Stabaek, previous: Stabaek vs Strommen: odds and pick
- Sandnes ULF, previous: Sandnes ULF v Haugesund analysis