Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb preview
Sogndal faces ODD Ballklubb with a 29% chance of winning for Sogndal compared to 51% for ODD Ballklubb. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 82% probability of Over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance for both teams to score. Sogndal's expected goals stand at 1.94, while ODD Ballklubb's is higher at 2.53.
Sogndal's recent form shows L-D-D-L-L-D, while ODD Ballklubb has a stronger record with W-W-W-L-D-W. The head-to-head results indicate Sogndal has 2 wins and ODD Ballklubb has 1 win in their last 3 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb: model vs market
| Source | Sogndal | Draw | ODD Ballklubb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sogndal and ODD Ballklubb expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.47
- Attack rating (Sogndal / ODD Ballklubb)
- 1.03 / 1.49
- Defence rating (Sogndal / ODD Ballklubb)
- 1.06 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sogndal goals. Columns: ODD Ballklubb goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 79%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sogndal | 29% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.01 | |
| ODD Ballklubb | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 18% | 5.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79% | 1.26 |
| No | 21% | 4.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sogndal or draw) | 49% | 2.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or ODD Ballklubb) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | ODD Ballklubb win by 2+ | 32% | 3.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sogndal and ODD Ballklubb recent form
Sogndal
0W 3D 3L
ODD Ballklubb
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sogndal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-4
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 2.09
- Goals against / match
- 1.82
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ODD Ballklubb away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-4
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Sogndal at home only, ODD Ballklubb away only.
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Sogndal 2 · draws 0 · ODD Ballklubb 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | ODD Ballklubb | 4-0 | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-11-01 | ODD Ballklubb | 1-4 | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-04-28 | Sogndal | 3-2 | ODD Ballklubb | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Strommen v Asane — match page 2026-10-14
- Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger 2026-10-14
- Haugesund v Lyn — match page 2026-10-14
- Bryne vs Raufoss 2026-10-14
- hodd v Ranheim — match page 2026-10-14
- Moss vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Sogndal, previous: Asane vs Sogndal: odds and pick
- ODD Ballklubb, previous: ODD Ballklubb vs Bryne prediction