Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger preview
In the match between Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger, the 1X2 probabilities show Stromsgodset at 41%, Kongsvinger at 38%, and a draw at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 6% chance of occurring. The model indicates a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams to score at 81%.
Stromsgodset's expected goals stand at 2.29, while Kongsvinger's is slightly lower at 2.20. Recent form shows Stromsgodset with four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Kongsvinger has three wins and two draws. The confidence grade is C, suggesting that while the predictions are strong, unexpected outcomes could still arise.
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger: model vs market
| Source | Stromsgodset | Draw | Kongsvinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.50
- Attack rating (Stromsgodset / Kongsvinger)
- 1.36 / 2.00
- Defence rating (Stromsgodset / Kongsvinger)
- 0.68 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stromsgodset goals. Columns: Kongsvinger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 81%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.87 | |
| Kongsvinger | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81% | 1.24 |
| No | 19% | 5.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stromsgodset or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Kongsvinger) | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win by 2+ | 25% | 4.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger recent form
Stromsgodset
5W 1D 0L
Kongsvinger
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stromsgodset at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Kongsvinger away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-2
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 2.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 15 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Stromsgodset at home only, Kongsvinger away only.
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Stromsgodset 0 · draws 1 · Kongsvinger 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Kongsvinger | 4-4 | Stromsgodset | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Strommen v Asane — match page 2026-10-14
- Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Haugesund v Lyn — match page 2026-10-14
- Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Bryne vs Raufoss 2026-10-14
- hodd v Ranheim — match page 2026-10-14
- Moss vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Stromsgodset, previous: Lyn v Stromsgodset analysis
- Kongsvinger, previous: Kongsvinger – Ranheim, 2026-10-11