Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC Prediction & Betting Tips 16/10/2026

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC preview

In the Stars League match between Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Qatar SC at 48% and Al-Sailiya at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 9% chance of occurring. With expected goals of 1.49 for Al-Sailiya and 1.98 for Qatar SC, the match could see a competitive edge.

Both teams to score is projected at 68%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 67%. Al-Sailiya's recent form shows 5 losses followed by a win, while Qatar SC has 2 draws and 3 losses before their latest win. If Al-Sailiya can improve their performance, the predictions could shift.

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Al-Sailiya	Draw	Qatar SC
Model	33%	25%	43%
Market	—	—	—
Published	33%	25%	43%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.55Al-Sailiya

1.79Qatar SC

Total expected goals: 3.35
Attack rating (Al-Sailiya / Qatar SC): 0.83 / 0.76
Defence rating (Al-Sailiya / Qatar SC): 1.40 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.5% 5.3% 5.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1 4.5% 10.8% 8.8% 5.3% 3.5% 2 4.2% 7.6% 6.8% 4.1% 2.7% 3 2.2% 3.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.4% 4+ 1.2% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.8%

Rows: Al-Sailiya goals. Columns: Qatar SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 86%

Over 2.5 65%

Over 3.5 43%

Both teams to score: 67%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Al-Sailiya	33%	3.06
	Draw	25%	4.06
	Qatar SC	43%	2.34
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65%	1.54
	Under 2.5	35%	2.86
Both teams to score	Yes	67%	1.50
	No	33%	3.00
Double chance	1X (Al-Sailiya or draw)	57%	1.75
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or Qatar SC)	67%	1.49
Handicap -1	Qatar SC win by 2+	23%	4.27
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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