FCSB vs Rapid preview
In the Liga I fixture between FCSB and Rapid, the 1X2 probabilities show FCSB at 34%, a draw at 27%, and Rapid at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 10% chance. Rapid's recent form is strong, with 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while FCSB has struggled, recording 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the same period.
The model indicates a 58% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability for both teams to score. FCSB is expected to score 1.13 goals, while Rapid is projected at 1.89 goals. If FCSB can improve their form, they may challenge Rapid’s recent dominance in head-to-head encounters, where FCSB has 1 win and 1 draw against Rapid's 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.
FCSB vs Rapid: model vs market
| Source | FCSB | Draw | Rapid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Published | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Edge | -16% | -4% | +20% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapid below the model: +20.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.80, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
FCSB vs Rapid odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rapid, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB | 2.40 | 2.45 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.24 | -0.06 |
| Rapid | 2.75 | 2.72 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FCSB and Rapid expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (FCSB / Rapid)
- 1.00 / 1.29
- Defence rating (FCSB / Rapid)
- 1.39 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FCSB vs Rapid score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FCSB goals. Columns: Rapid goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FCSB vs Rapid goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FCSB vs Rapid
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FCSB | 34% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| Rapid | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FCSB or draw) | 61% | 1.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Rapid) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid win by 2+ | 32% | 3.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FCSB and Rapid recent form
FCSB
1W 1D 4L
Rapid
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FCSB at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FCSB at home only, Rapid away only.
FCSB vs Rapid head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FCSB 1 · draws 1 · Rapid 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | FCSB | 2-1 | Rapid | Liga I |
| 2025-08-17 | Rapid | 2-2 | FCSB | Liga I |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti 2026-10-24
- FC Botosani v Petrolul Ploiesti — match page 2026-10-24
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad 2026-10-24
- Farul Constanta v Oţelul — match page 2026-10-24
- Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- FCSB, previous: FC Voluntari v FCSB analysis
- Rapid, previous: Rapid v Corvinul Hunedoara analysis