Updated

Liga I · Matchday 12

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara

· Superbet Arena - Giulesti, Bucharest

Alin prediction Rapid to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RapidDrawCorvinul Hunedoara
Best market odds
Rapid1.53 Draw4.05 Corvinul Hunedoara6.80
Bet on Rapid

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara preview

In the Liga I fixture between Rapid and Corvinul Hunedoara, the 1X2 probabilities show Rapid at 61%, while Corvinul Hunedoara stands at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% chance according to our model. Rapid's expected goals are 1.73, compared to Corvinul Hunedoara's 0.90, indicating a stronger attacking performance.

However, the match could deviate from this prediction. With both teams to score at 50% and Over 2.5 goals at 49%, there is potential for surprises. Corvinul Hunedoara's recent form includes two wins, which could impact their performance. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRapidDrawCorvinul Hunedoara
Model56%26%18%
Market63%23%14%
Published61%24%15%
Edge-7%+3%+4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rapid, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-08.

Opened 1.47Now 1.47 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Rapid1.471.47+0.00
Draw4.004.00+0.00
Corvinul Hunedoara6.506.50+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rapid and Corvinul Hunedoara expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.73Rapid
0.90Corvinul Hunedoara
Total expected goals
2.63
Attack rating (Rapid / Corvinul Hunedoara)
1.26 / 1.02
Defence rating (Rapid / Corvinul Hunedoara)
0.84 / 0.91

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.3% 5.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 1 11.3% 12.4% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 2 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.4% 3 6.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Rows: Rapid goals. Columns: Corvinul Hunedoara goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 49%
Over 3.5 27%
Both teams to score
50%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Rapid61%1.64
Draw24%4.21
Corvinul Hunedoara15%6.56
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549%2.04
Under 2.551%1.96
Both teams to scoreYes50%2.00
No50%2.00
Double chance1X (Rapid or draw)85%1.18
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or Corvinul Hunedoara)39%2.56
Handicap -1Rapid win by 2+32%3.15
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Rapid and Corvinul Hunedoara recent form

Rapid 5W 1D 0L
Corvinul Hunedoara 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Rapid at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
0.83
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Corvinul Hunedoara away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.60
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid at home only, Corvinul Hunedoara away only.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Rapid to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Rapid