Updated

Liga I · Matchday 11

Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari

· Michael Klein Stadium, Hunedoara· Referee Marian Barbu

Full time3 – 2

Alin prediction was Corvinul Hunedoara to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Corvinul HunedoaraDrawFC Voluntari

Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCorvinul HunedoaraDrawFC Voluntari
Model62%23%14%
Market56%25%19%
Published58%24%18%
Edge+2%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Corvinul Hunedoara, 42 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 2.08Now 1.65 -0.44
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Corvinul Hunedoara2.081.65-0.44
Draw3.253.75+0.50
FC Voluntari3.474.80+1.33

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Corvinul Hunedoara and FC Voluntari expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.91Corvinul Hunedoara
0.80FC Voluntari
Total expected goals
2.71
Attack rating (Corvinul Hunedoara / FC Voluntari)
0.91 / 0.91
Defence rating (Corvinul Hunedoara / FC Voluntari)
0.84 / 1.38

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 1 11.6% 11.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.3% 2 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 3 7.7% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%

Rows: Corvinul Hunedoara goals. Columns: FC Voluntari goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
48%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Corvinul Hunedoara58%1.73
Draw24%4.11
FC Voluntari18%5.57
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.96
Under 2.549%2.04
Both teams to scoreYes48%2.08
No52%1.93
Double chance1X (Corvinul Hunedoara or draw)82%1.22
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or FC Voluntari)42%2.36
Handicap -1Corvinul Hunedoara win by 2+38%2.61
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Corvinul Hunedoara and FC Voluntari recent form

Corvinul Hunedoara 2W 2D 2L
FC Voluntari 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Corvinul Hunedoara at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

FC Voluntari away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
3.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Corvinul Hunedoara at home only, FC Voluntari away only.

Expected lineups

Corvinul Hunedoara lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 21 C. Sandu
  2. 10 A. Neacșa
  3. 30 A. Manolache
  4. 18 F. Ilie
  5. 13 F. Iacob
  6. 47 G. Uche Goodlad
  7. 23 I. Cărăruș
  8. 19 N. Pîrvulescu
  9. 20 Sérgio Ribeiro
  10. 99 E. Yeboah
  11. 32 A. Gillard

Bench: M. Abualnadi, Constantin Dragoș Albu, R. Espinosa, Roger Junio, A. Frânculescu, M. Hayatu, M. Ivančević, Gabriel Apur, A. Fábry, M. Bratu, R. Deaconu

FC Voluntari lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 31 M. Jurhar
  2. 25 D. Kiki
  3. 6 S. Čestić
  4. 27 R. Crişan
  5. 5 D. Haruţ
  6. 11 R. Guțea
  7. 8 I. Gheorghe
  8. 40 L. Cvek
  9. 19 M. Schieb
  10. 7 M. Roman
  11. 10 G. Merloi

Bench: D. Dumbrăvanu, M. Babić, A. Chioveanu, Nuno Rodrigues, B. Ștefan, A. Chică-Roșă, A. Șuteu, I. Vencu

Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Corvinul Hunedoara 2 · draws 1 · FC Voluntari 2.

Corvinul HunedoaraDrawsFC Voluntari
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-06Corvinul Hunedoara2-0FC VoluntariLiga II
2026-04-10FC Voluntari1-0Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
2025-11-08Corvinul Hunedoara0-0FC VoluntariLiga II
2024-08-25FC Voluntari2-0Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
2024-04-17Corvinul Hunedoara3-1FC VoluntariCupa României

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match