Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj: model vs market
| Source | Arges Pitesti | Draw | CFR 1907 Cluj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 32% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Published | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Arges Pitesti, 36 snapshots since 2026-09-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | 2.43 | 2.42 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.10 | +0.05 |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 2.97 | 2.87 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Arges Pitesti and CFR 1907 Cluj expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Arges Pitesti / CFR 1907 Cluj)
- 0.63 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Arges Pitesti / CFR 1907 Cluj)
- 0.95 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Arges Pitesti goals. Columns: CFR 1907 Cluj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arges Pitesti | 38% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 | |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Arges Pitesti or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or CFR 1907 Cluj) | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Arges Pitesti win by 2+ | 15% | 6.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Arges Pitesti and CFR 1907 Cluj recent form
Arges Pitesti
0W 2D 4L
CFR 1907 Cluj
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arges Pitesti at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CFR 1907 Cluj away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Arges Pitesti at home only, CFR 1907 Cluj away only.
Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Arges Pitesti 2 · draws 1 · CFR 1907 Cluj 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1-1 | Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| 2026-04-17 | Arges Pitesti | 0-1 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
| 2025-11-29 | Arges Pitesti | 3-0 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
| 2025-07-27 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 0-2 | Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
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