Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj preview
In the Liga I fixture between Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj, the 1X2 probabilities show Uta Arad at 43%, while CFR 1907 Cluj sits at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. Uta Arad has an expected goals figure of 2.01, compared to CFR 1907 Cluj's 1.17.
Both teams to score has a probability of 61%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 62%. Recent form indicates Uta Arad has won 3 of their last 6 matches, while CFR 1907 Cluj has also won 4 out of 6. However, Uta Arad has not won any of the last 2 meetings against CFR 1907 Cluj, which could impact their performance.
Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj: model vs market
| Source | Uta Arad | Draw | CFR 1907 Cluj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 28% |
| Published | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Edge | +8% | -2% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.15.
- The market prices Uta Arad below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Uta Arad, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-08.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uta Arad | 2.40 | 2.10 | -0.30 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.40 | +0.30 |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 2.92 | 3.30 | +0.38 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Uta Arad / CFR 1907 Cluj)
- 1.00 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Uta Arad / CFR 1907 Cluj)
- 1.02 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Uta Arad goals. Columns: CFR 1907 Cluj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Uta Arad | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Uta Arad or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or CFR 1907 Cluj) | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | Uta Arad win by 2+ | 30% | 3.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj recent form
Uta Arad
3W 1D 2L
CFR 1907 Cluj
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Uta Arad at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CFR 1907 Cluj away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Uta Arad at home only, CFR 1907 Cluj away only.
Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Uta Arad 0 · draws 1 · CFR 1907 Cluj 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Uta Arad | 0-1 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
| 2025-09-21 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1-1 | Uta Arad | Liga I |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Oţelul v Csikszereda — match page 2026-10-16
- Dinamo Bucuresti v FC Botosani — match page 2026-10-16
- Petrolul Ploiesti v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — match page 2026-10-17
- Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta 2026-10-17
- FC Voluntari vs FCSB — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Universitatea Cluj vs Arges Pitesti — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Uta Arad, previous: FC Botosani – Uta Arad, 2026-10-10
- CFR 1907 Cluj, previous: Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj: odds and pick