Updated

Liga I · Matchday 12

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani

· Stadionul Dinamo, Bucharest

Alin prediction Dinamo Bucuresti to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Dinamo BucurestiDrawFC Botosani

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani preview

In the Liga I fixture between Dinamo Bucuresti and FC Botosani, the 1X2 probabilities show Dinamo Bucuresti at 69% to win, while FC Botosani stands at 11%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, which aligns with Dinamo's expected goals of 2.14 compared to FC Botosani's 0.75.

However, the match could deviate from this outcome. Both teams to score is at 47%, indicating a chance that FC Botosani might find the net. Additionally, recent form shows FC Botosani has won 3 of their last 6 matches, which could influence the game's dynamics.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDinamo BucurestiDrawFC Botosani
Model69%21%11%
Market———
Published69%21%11%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Dinamo Bucuresti and FC Botosani expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.14Dinamo Bucuresti
0.75FC Botosani
Total expected goals
2.89
Attack rating (Dinamo Bucuresti / FC Botosani)
1.51 / 1.13
Defence rating (Dinamo Bucuresti / FC Botosani)
0.62 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1 11.0% 9.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 2 12.8% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 3 9.1% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 4+ 8.0% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%

Rows: Dinamo Bucuresti goals. Columns: FC Botosani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Dinamo Bucuresti69%1.46
Draw21%4.88
FC Botosani11%9.24
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.82
Under 2.545%2.23
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.12
No53%1.90
Double chance1X (Dinamo Bucuresti or draw)89%1.12
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or FC Botosani)31%3.19
Handicap -1Dinamo Bucuresti win by 2+45%2.21
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Dinamo Bucuresti and FC Botosani recent form

Dinamo Bucuresti 5W 1D 0L
FC Botosani 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Dinamo Bucuresti at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.40
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

FC Botosani away

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.17
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Dinamo Bucuresti at home only, FC Botosani away only.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Dinamo Bucuresti 3 · draws 4 · FC Botosani 3.

Dinamo BucurestiDrawsFC Botosani
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-11-24FC Botosani1-1Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2025-07-21Dinamo Bucuresti0-0FC BotosaniLiga I
2025-02-07FC Botosani1-1Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2024-09-27Dinamo Bucuresti2-2FC BotosaniLiga I
2024-04-23FC Botosani2-1Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2023-12-18FC Botosani0-2Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2023-08-14Dinamo Bucuresti1-0FC BotosaniLiga I
2022-05-06FC Botosani2-3Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2022-02-07FC Botosani4-0Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
2021-09-19Dinamo Bucuresti1-2FC BotosaniLiga I

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Dinamo Bucuresti to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Dinamo Bucuresti