Oţelul vs Csikszereda preview
In the Liga I fixture between Oţelul and Csikszereda, the 1X2 probabilities show Oţelul at 59%, while Csikszereda is at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 13% chance according to our model. Oţelul has an expected goals figure of 1.95, compared to Csikszereda's 0.73, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Oţelul has recorded four losses and a draw in their last five matches, while Csikszereda has lost all six of their recent games. This trend raises questions about Oţelul’s ability to secure a win despite their higher probabilities. The model suggests a 50% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance for both teams to score, adding further uncertainty.
Oţelul vs Csikszereda: model vs market
| Source | Oţelul | Draw | Csikszereda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Published | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Edge | +9% | -2% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Oţelul below the model: +8.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Oţelul vs Csikszereda odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Oţelul, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-08.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.67 | 3.73 | +0.05 |
| Csikszereda | 5.25 | 4.80 | -0.45 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Oţelul and Csikszereda expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (Oţelul / Csikszereda)
- 0.93 / 0.59
- Defence rating (Oţelul / Csikszereda)
- 1.16 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Oţelul vs Csikszereda score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Oţelul goals. Columns: Csikszereda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Oţelul vs Csikszereda goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Oţelul vs Csikszereda
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oţelul | 59% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 | |
| Csikszereda | 17% | 5.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Oţelul or draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Csikszereda) | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Oţelul win by 2+ | 41% | 2.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Oţelul and Csikszereda recent form
Oţelul
1W 1D 4L
Csikszereda
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Oţelul at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Csikszereda away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Oţelul at home only, Csikszereda away only.
Oţelul vs Csikszereda head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Oţelul 3 · draws 1 · Csikszereda 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Oţelul | 2-3 | Csikszereda | Liga I |
| 2026-01-26 | Oţelul | 3-0 | Csikszereda | Liga I |
| 2025-12-02 | Csikszereda | 1-2 | Oţelul | Cupa României |
| 2025-09-01 | Csikszereda | 1-1 | Oţelul | Liga I |
| 2024-10-30 | Csikszereda | 2-1 | Oţelul | Cupa României |
| 2023-03-03 | Oţelul | 1-0 | Csikszereda | Liga II |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Dinamo Bucuresti v FC Botosani — match page 2026-10-16
- Petrolul Ploiesti v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — match page 2026-10-17
- Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta 2026-10-17
- FC Voluntari vs FCSB — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj 2026-10-17
- Universitatea Cluj vs Arges Pitesti — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Oţelul, previous: FCSB vs Oţelul prediction
- Csikszereda, previous: Csikszereda v Universitatea Craiova analysis