Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova: model vs market
| Source | Csikszereda | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| Market | 16% | 23% | 61% |
| Published | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| Edge | -6% | -3% | +9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Universitatea Craiova below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Universitatea Craiova, 38 snapshots since 2026-09-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Csikszereda | 5.53 | 5.65 | +0.12 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.04 | +0.04 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.55 | 1.52 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Csikszereda / Universitatea Craiova)
- 0.68 / 1.42
- Defence rating (Csikszereda / Universitatea Craiova)
- 1.46 / 0.71
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Csikszereda goals. Columns: Universitatea Craiova goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Csikszereda | 15% | 6.73 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| Universitatea Craiova | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.13 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Csikszereda or draw) | 37% | 2.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Universitatea Craiova) | 85% | 1.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitatea Craiova win by 2+ | 47% | 2.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova recent form
Csikszereda
0W 1D 5L
Universitatea Craiova
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Csikszereda at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universitatea Craiova away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Csikszereda at home only, Universitatea Craiova away only.
Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Csikszereda 0 · draws 0 · Universitatea Craiova 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | Universitatea Craiova | 5-0 | Csikszereda | Liga I |
| 2025-08-17 | Csikszereda | 1-2 | Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
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