Updated

Liga I · Matchday 11

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid

· Cluj Arena, Cluj Napoca· Referee Rares George Vidican

Full time3 – 4

Alin prediction was Universitatea Cluj to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Universitatea ClujDrawRapid

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceUniversitatea ClujDrawRapid
Model38%30%32%
Market35%29%36%
Published36%29%35%
Edge+1%0%-1%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Universitatea Cluj, 48 snapshots since 2026-09-19.

Opened 2.55Now 2.60 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Universitatea Cluj2.552.60+0.05
Draw3.103.23+0.12
Rapid2.752.55-0.20

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Universitatea Cluj and Rapid expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.30Universitatea Cluj
1.19Rapid
Total expected goals
2.49
Attack rating (Universitatea Cluj / Rapid)
1.22 / 1.06
Defence rating (Universitatea Cluj / Rapid)
1.06 / 0.71

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.6% 8.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.9% 1 9.5% 14.1% 7.6% 3.0% 1.2% 2 7.1% 8.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.8% 3 3.1% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: Universitatea Cluj goals. Columns: Rapid goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Universitatea Cluj36%2.77
Draw29%3.47
Rapid35%2.85
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545%2.21
Under 2.555%1.83
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.93
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (Universitatea Cluj or draw)65%1.54
12 (either side)71%1.40
X2 (draw or Rapid)64%1.56
Handicap -1Universitatea Cluj win by 2+18%5.65
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Universitatea Cluj and Rapid recent form

Universitatea Cluj 3W 0D 3L
Rapid 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Universitatea Cluj at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Win rate
80%
Goals for / match
2.20
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Rapid away

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.25
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Universitatea Cluj at home only, Rapid away only.

Expected lineups

Universitatea Cluj lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Ştefan Daniel Lefter
  2. 27 A. Chipciu
  3. 8 D. Codrea
  4. 6 I. Cristea
  5. 24 D. Mikanović
  6. 7 M. Drammeh
  7. 94 O. Bic
  8. 11 M. Ștefănescu
  9. 29 O. Mendy
  10. 19 I. Macalou
  11. 17 J. Lukić

Bench: A. Chinteș, D. Nistor, A. Friday, Pedro Pinho, D. Moldovan, F. Poulolo, E. Capradossi, A. Aliev, J. Stanojev, Ionel Alin Techereș, A. Gheorghiță, N. Michael

Rapid lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 99 B. Ungureanu
  2. 66 W. L. Ouedraogo
  3. 6 L. Kramer
  4. 18 S. Sinyan
  5. 19 R. Onea
  6. 44 C. B. Doumbia
  7. 8 C. Grameni
  8. 7 M. Kamara
  9. 80 O. Moruțan
  10. 29 A. Dobre
  11. 9 F. Stojilković

Bench: A. Pașcanu, C. Petrila, D. Ciobotariu, M. Aioani, Andrei Sucu, R. Sălceanu, V. Bubanja, C. Manea, E. Annan, R. Pop, T. Jambor

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Universitatea Cluj 7 · draws 2 · Rapid 1.

Universitatea ClujDrawsRapid
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-09Universitatea Cluj1-0RapidLiga I
2026-04-05Rapid1-2Universitatea ClujLiga I
2026-01-31Rapid0-2Universitatea ClujLiga I
2025-09-12Universitatea Cluj0-0RapidLiga I
2025-05-24Universitatea Cluj2-2RapidLiga I
2025-04-19Rapid0-2Universitatea ClujLiga I
2025-02-01Universitatea Cluj2-1RapidLiga I
2024-09-16Rapid0-2Universitatea ClujLiga I
2023-11-27Rapid2-3Universitatea ClujLiga I
2023-07-23Universitatea Cluj0-3RapidLiga I

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match