FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti preview
In the Liga I fixture between FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Botosani at 51% to win, while Petrolul Ploiesti is at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which occurs at a rate of 10%. FC Botosani has an expected goals figure of 1.72 compared to Petrolul Ploiesti's 1.08, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, FC Botosani's recent form includes 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Petrolul Ploiesti has 3 wins in the same period. Both teams to score stands at 55%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 53%. These factors could influence the outcome, especially if Petrolul Ploiesti improves their scoring efficiency.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti: model vs market
| Source | FC Botosani | Draw | Petrolul Ploiesti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Published | 49% | 26% | 24% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.08.
- The market prices FC Botosani below the model: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Botosani, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Botosani | 2.37 | 1.90 | -0.47 |
| Draw | 3.11 | 3.50 | +0.39 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 2.98 | 3.75 | +0.77 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (FC Botosani / Petrolul Ploiesti)
- 1.03 / 1.03
- Defence rating (FC Botosani / Petrolul Ploiesti)
- 1.00 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Botosani goals. Columns: Petrolul Ploiesti goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Botosani or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Petrolul Ploiesti) | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Botosani win by 2+ | 29% | 3.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti recent form
FC Botosani
2W 2D 2L
Petrolul Ploiesti
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Botosani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrolul Ploiesti away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Botosani at home only, Petrolul Ploiesti away only.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FC Botosani 0 · draws 2 · Petrolul Ploiesti 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Botosani | 1-1 | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| 2026-03-07 | FC Botosani | 0-1 | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| 2025-11-03 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 0-0 | FC Botosani | Liga I |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FCSB vs Rapid — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti 2026-10-24
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad 2026-10-24
- Farul Constanta v Oţelul — match page 2026-10-24
- Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- FC Botosani, previous: Dinamo Bucuresti – FC Botosani, 2026-10-16
- Petrolul Ploiesti, previous: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe prediction