Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau: model vs market
| Source | Bihor Oradea | Draw | FC Bacau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Published | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Edge | -4% | -3% | +7% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bihor Oradea, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bihor Oradea | 2.12 | 2.08 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.25 | -0.05 |
| FC Bacau | 3.06 | 3.12 | +0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.46
- Attack rating (Bihor Oradea / FC Bacau)
- 1.24 / 1.31
- Defence rating (Bihor Oradea / FC Bacau)
- 1.08 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bihor Oradea goals. Columns: FC Bacau goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bihor Oradea | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| FC Bacau | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.46 |
| No | 31% | 3.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bihor Oradea or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Bacau) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bihor Oradea win by 2+ | 21% | 4.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau recent form
Bihor Oradea
2W 2D 2L
FC Bacau
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bihor Oradea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
FC Bacau away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bihor Oradea at home only, FC Bacau away only.
Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Bihor Oradea 1 · draws 0 · FC Bacau 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Bihor Oradea | 2-0 | FC Bacau | Liga II |
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