CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina preview
CSM Reşiţa faces Slatina in Liga II with a 37% chance of winning compared to Slatina's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, reflecting CSM Reşiţa's expected goals of 0.89 against Slatina's 1.39. This suggests that while CSM Reşiţa has a slight edge in the 1X2 market, Slatina could pose a significant threat.
Both teams to score stands at 46%, indicating a moderate likelihood of goals from both sides. However, CSM Reşiţa's recent form shows inconsistency, with three wins in their last six matches, while Slatina has won five of their last six. This recent performance could challenge the expected outcome, making the match unpredictable. Over 2.5 goals has a 40% probability, further adding to the uncertainty.
CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina: model vs market
| Source | CSM Reşiţa | Draw | Slatina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 30% | 47% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Published | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Edge | -18% | +2% | +16% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CSM Reşiţa, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Reşiţa | 2.22 | 2.17 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.24 | -0.01 |
| Slatina | 2.87 | 2.91 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CSM Reşiţa and Slatina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.28
- Attack rating (CSM Reşiţa / Slatina)
- 0.98 / 1.32
- Defence rating (CSM Reşiţa / Slatina)
- 0.88 / 0.58
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSM Reşiţa goals. Columns: Slatina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Reşiţa | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Slatina | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSM Reşiţa or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Slatina) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | CSM Reşiţa win by 2+ | 8% | 12.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSM Reşiţa and Slatina recent form
CSM Reşiţa
4W 0D 2L
Slatina
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSM Reşiţa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Slatina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSM Reşiţa at home only, Slatina away only.
CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CSM Reşiţa 1 · draws 0 · Slatina 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | CSM Reşiţa | 2-0 | Slatina | Liga II |
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