Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea preview
In the Liga II fixture between Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea, the model gives Gloria Bistriţa a 53% chance to win, making them the favorites. The expected goals show Gloria Bistriţa at 1.93 and CSM Ramnicu Valcea at 1.09, which suggests a potential scoreline of 2-1, occurring with a 10% likelihood.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 58%, indicating a strong possibility for an open match. However, recent form shows Gloria Bistriţa has lost three of their last six games, while CSM Ramnicu Valcea has won two of their last six. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, making the match less predictable.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea: model vs market
| Source | Gloria Bistriţa | Draw | CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.09.
- The market prices Gloria Bistriţa below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gloria Bistriţa, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria Bistriţa | 1.85 | 1.77 | -0.08 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.60 | +0.20 |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 3.90 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (Gloria Bistriţa / CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
- 1.04 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Gloria Bistriţa / CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
- 0.95 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gloria Bistriţa goals. Columns: CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 53% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 22% | 4.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gloria Bistriţa or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or CSM Ramnicu Valcea) | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gloria Bistriţa win by 2+ | 33% | 2.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea recent form
Gloria Bistriţa
2W 0D 4L
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gloria Bistriţa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gloria Bistriţa at home only, CSM Ramnicu Valcea away only.
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