CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare preview
In the Liga II fixture between CS Dinamo București and CSM Satu Mare, the key number is CSM Satu Mare's 44% probability of winning. CS Dinamo București has struggled recently, with four losses in their last six matches, while CSM Satu Mare has only managed one win in their last six games.
The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with CS Dinamo București at 1.31 and CSM Satu Mare at 1.65. The market indicates a 57% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score. However, if CS Dinamo București can improve their form, they may challenge the predicted outcome.
CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare: model vs market
| Source | CS Dinamo București | Draw | CSM Satu Mare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 26% | 44% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.31.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Dinamo București and CSM Satu Mare expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.97
- Attack rating (CS Dinamo București / CSM Satu Mare)
- 0.89 / 0.75
- Defence rating (CS Dinamo București / CSM Satu Mare)
- 1.84 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Dinamo București goals. Columns: CSM Satu Mare goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Dinamo București | 29% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| CSM Satu Mare | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Dinamo București or draw) | 56% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or CSM Satu Mare) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | CSM Satu Mare win by 2+ | 24% | 4.22 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CS Dinamo București and CSM Satu Mare recent form
CS Dinamo București
1W 0D 5L
CSM Satu Mare
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Dinamo București at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Satu Mare away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Dinamo București at home only, CSM Satu Mare away only.
CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CS Dinamo București 0 · draws 0 · CSM Satu Mare 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | CSM Satu Mare | 2-0 | CS Dinamo București | Liga II |
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