FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti preview
In the Liga II match between FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSA Steaua Bucureşti, the key number is FC Politehnica Timisoara's 62% probability to win in the 1X2 market. They have shown strong recent form with five wins in their last six matches, while CSA Steaua Bucureşti has struggled, recording just one win in their last six. The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from FC Politehnica Timisoara, with 3.27 compared to 0.96 for CSA Steaua Bucureşti.
The prediction leans towards Over 2.5 goals at 79% and a likely scoreline of 3-0. However, CSA Steaua Bucureşti could disrupt this scenario if they manage to improve their form and capitalize on any defensive lapses from FC Politehnica Timisoara. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti: model vs market
| Source | FC Politehnica Timisoara | Draw | CSA Steaua Bucureşti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Published | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Edge | +25% | -13% | -12% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.27 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Politehnica Timisoara below the model: +25.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Politehnica Timisoara, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Politehnica Timisoara | 1.66 | 1.62 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.60 | -0.10 |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 4.80 | 4.71 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSA Steaua Bucureşti expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.24
- Attack rating (FC Politehnica Timisoara / CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
- 1.45 / 0.95
- Defence rating (FC Politehnica Timisoara / CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
- 0.84 / 1.43
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Politehnica Timisoara goals. Columns: CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 62% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.59 | |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 16% | 6.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Politehnica Timisoara or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or CSA Steaua Bucureşti) | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara win by 2+ | 64% | 1.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSA Steaua Bucureşti recent form
FC Politehnica Timisoara
5W 1D 0L
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Politehnica Timisoara at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Politehnica Timisoara at home only, CSA Steaua Bucureşti away only.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC Politehnica Timisoara 1 · draws 0 · CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-08 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 3-1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | Liga II |
| 2021-11-28 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 2-1 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga II |
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