Amazulu vs Golden Arrows preview
Amazulu face Golden Arrows with 40% chances to win for both teams and a 20% chance for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 26%. Amazulu's expected goals stand at 0.86, while Golden Arrows are at 0.54.
Despite Amazulu's strong recent form of 4 wins in 6 matches, the low probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 17% and both teams to score at 25% suggest a tight match. Golden Arrows have struggled, with only 1 win in their last 6 games, which could impact their performance. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
Amazulu vs Golden Arrows: model vs market
| Source | Amazulu | Draw | Golden Arrows |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Amazulu and Golden Arrows expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.40
- Attack rating (Amazulu / Golden Arrows)
- 1.26 / 0.62
- Defence rating (Amazulu / Golden Arrows)
- 0.94 / 0.60
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Amazulu vs Golden Arrows score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Amazulu goals. Columns: Golden Arrows goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Amazulu vs Golden Arrows goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 25%
- No goals (0–0)
- 26%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Amazulu vs Golden Arrows
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amazulu | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Golden Arrows | 20% | 4.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17% | 6.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25% | 3.98 |
| No | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Amazulu or draw) | 80% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| X2 (draw or Golden Arrows) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Amazulu win by 2+ | 14% | 6.97 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Amazulu and Golden Arrows recent form
Amazulu
5W 0D 1L
Golden Arrows
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Amazulu at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Golden Arrows away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Amazulu at home only, Golden Arrows away only.
Amazulu vs Golden Arrows head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Amazulu 1 · draws 1 · Golden Arrows 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Amazulu | 1-1 | Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| 2025-12-02 | Golden Arrows | 0-1 | Amazulu | Premier Soccer League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Marumo Gallants v Siwelele — match page 2026-10-30
- Stellenbosch vs Chippa United — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs 2026-10-31
- Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Amazulu, previous: Durban City v Amazulu analysis
- Golden Arrows, previous: Golden Arrows vs Milford FC: odds and pick