Milford FC vs Sekhukhune United preview
In the Premier Soccer League fixture between Milford FC and Sekhukhune United, the 1X2 probabilities show Milford FC at 47%, a draw at 31%, and Sekhukhune United at 22%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, with a 14% chance.
Milford FC has an expected goals figure of 1.34 compared to Sekhukhune United's 0.83. However, the chances of Over 2.5 goals stand at only 37%, and both teams to score is at 43%. This means that while Milford FC is favored, a low-scoring match is possible, which could affect the outcome.
Milford FC vs Sekhukhune United: model vs market
| Source | Milford FC | Draw | Sekhukhune United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.83.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Milford FC and Sekhukhune United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.17
- Attack rating (Milford FC / Sekhukhune United)
- 1.07 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Milford FC / Sekhukhune United)
- 0.76 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Milford FC vs Sekhukhune United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Milford FC goals. Columns: Sekhukhune United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Milford FC vs Sekhukhune United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Milford FC vs Sekhukhune United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milford FC | 47% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Sekhukhune United | 22% | 4.56 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| No | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Milford FC or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Sekhukhune United) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | Milford FC win by 2+ | 23% | 4.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Milford FC and Sekhukhune United recent form
Milford FC
2W 3D 1L
Sekhukhune United
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Milford FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Sekhukhune United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Milford FC at home only, Sekhukhune United away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs 2026-10-31
- Amazulu v Golden Arrows — match page 2026-10-31
- Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Kruger United vs Richards Bay 2026-10-31
- Mamelodi Sundowns v Durban City — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Milford FC, previous: Golden Arrows vs Milford FC: odds and pick
- Sekhukhune United, previous: Sekhukhune United v Marumo Gallants analysis