Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele preview
In the Premier Soccer League fixture between Marumo Gallants and Siwelele, the 1X2 probabilities show Siwelele at 38%, Marumo Gallants at 33%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a good chance for goals from both sides.
Marumo Gallants have struggled recently, with a record of L-L-L-D-L-L, while Siwelele's form is slightly better at W-D-L-L-D-L. The expected goals are 1.23 for Marumo Gallants and 1.33 for Siwelele, suggesting a close match. However, if Marumo Gallants can improve their form, the predicted outcome may not hold.
Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele: model vs market
| Source | Marumo Gallants | Draw | Siwelele |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Marumo Gallants and Siwelele expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Marumo Gallants / Siwelele)
- 0.76 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Marumo Gallants / Siwelele)
- 1.36 / 1.42
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Marumo Gallants goals. Columns: Siwelele goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marumo Gallants | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Siwelele | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| No | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Marumo Gallants or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Siwelele) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Siwelele win by 2+ | 18% | 5.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Marumo Gallants and Siwelele recent form
Marumo Gallants
0W 1D 5L
Siwelele
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Marumo Gallants at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Siwelele away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Marumo Gallants at home only, Siwelele away only.
Marumo Gallants vs Siwelele head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Marumo Gallants 0 · draws 1 · Siwelele 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Marumo Gallants | 0-0 | Siwelele | Premier Soccer League |
| 2025-09-28 | Siwelele | 1-0 | Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Marumo Gallants, previous: Sekhukhune United v Marumo Gallants analysis
- Siwelele, previous: Siwelele vs Polokwane City prediction