Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy preview
In the match between Polokwane City and TS Galaxy, the 1X2 probabilities show Polokwane City at 40%, a draw at 35%, and TS Galaxy at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance according to our model. Polokwane City has an expected goals figure of 1.05, while TS Galaxy sits at 0.78.
Polokwane City is in poor recent form with 1 win in their last 6 matches, while TS Galaxy has 1 win in their last 6 as well. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 28%, and both teams to score stands at 37%. If Polokwane City fails to convert their chances or TS Galaxy improves their performance, the predictions could change.
Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy: model vs market
| Source | Polokwane City | Draw | TS Galaxy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Polokwane City and TS Galaxy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.84
- Attack rating (Polokwane City / TS Galaxy)
- 0.75 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Polokwane City / TS Galaxy)
- 1.08 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Polokwane City goals. Columns: TS Galaxy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polokwane City | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.88 | |
| TS Galaxy | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.73 |
| No | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Polokwane City or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| X2 (draw or TS Galaxy) | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Handicap -1 | Polokwane City win by 2+ | 17% | 6.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Polokwane City and TS Galaxy recent form
Polokwane City
0W 3D 3L
TS Galaxy
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Polokwane City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
TS Galaxy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Polokwane City at home only, TS Galaxy away only.
Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Polokwane City 1 · draws 1 · TS Galaxy 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | TS Galaxy | 1-2 | Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| 2025-11-29 | Polokwane City | 0-0 | TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Marumo Gallants v Siwelele — match page 2026-10-30
- Stellenbosch vs Chippa United — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs 2026-10-31
- Amazulu v Golden Arrows — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Polokwane City, previous: Siwelele vs Polokwane City prediction
- TS Galaxy, previous: Orlando Pirates – TS Galaxy, 2026-10-13