IK brage vs Osters IF preview
In the Superettan fixture between IK Brage and Osters IF, the 1X2 probabilities show Osters IF at 41% to win, while IK Brage is at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. The expected goals are 1.35 for IK Brage and 1.56 for Osters IF, indicating a slight edge for the visitors.
Both teams to score has a 60% probability, and there is a 56% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, IK Brage's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Osters IF also struggles, with 1 win in their last 6. These factors could influence the outcome differently than predicted.
IK brage vs Osters IF: model vs market
| Source | IK brage | Draw | Osters IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
IK brage and Osters IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (IK brage / Osters IF)
- 0.81 / 0.99
- Defence rating (IK brage / Osters IF)
- 1.21 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
IK brage vs Osters IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: IK brage goals. Columns: Osters IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
IK brage vs Osters IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for IK brage vs Osters IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IK brage | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Osters IF | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (IK brage or draw) | 59% | 1.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Osters IF) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Osters IF win by 2+ | 21% | 4.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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IK brage and Osters IF recent form
IK brage
1W 2D 3L
Osters IF
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
IK brage at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-5-5
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.92
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Osters IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-7
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.85
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: IK brage at home only, Osters IF away only.
IK brage vs Osters IF head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: IK brage 0 · draws 0 · Osters IF 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Osters IF | 3-2 | IK brage | Superettan |
| 2026-02-28 | Osters IF | 4-1 | IK brage | Svenska Cupen |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Oddevold v GIF Sundsvall — match page 2026-10-23
- Ostersunds FK v United Nordic — match page 2026-10-24
- IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- IK brage, previous: Ljungskile SK – IK brage, 2026-10-17
- Osters IF, previous: Osters IF vs Oddevold: odds and pick