Updated

Superettan · Matchday 27

Osters IF vs Oddevold

· Spiris Arena, Växjö· Referee Per Martin Melin

Full time3 – 1

Alin prediction was Oddevold to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Osters IFDrawOddevold

Osters IF vs Oddevold: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOsters IFDrawOddevold
Model35%28%37%
Market32%25%43%
Published33%26%41%
Edge+3%+3%-6%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Osters IF vs Oddevold odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Oddevold, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 2.26Now 2.15 -0.11
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Osters IF2.802.88+0.08
Draw3.583.65+0.07
Oddevold2.262.15-0.11

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Osters IF and Oddevold expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.31Osters IF
1.36Oddevold
Total expected goals
2.67
Attack rating (Osters IF / Oddevold)
0.99 / 0.99
Defence rating (Osters IF / Oddevold)
1.05 / 0.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Osters IF vs Oddevold score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.2% 8.2% 6.4% 2.9% 1.3% 1 7.9% 13.6% 8.4% 3.8% 1.7% 2 6.0% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 3 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 4+ 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Osters IF goals. Columns: Oddevold goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Osters IF vs Oddevold goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Osters IF vs Oddevold

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Osters IF33%3.06
Draw26%3.84
Oddevold41%2.42
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550%2.01
Under 2.550%1.99
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.80
No45%2.25
Double chance1X (Osters IF or draw)59%1.70
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Oddevold)67%1.48
Handicap -1Oddevold win by 2+17%5.77
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Osters IF and Oddevold recent form

Osters IF 1W 1D 4L
Oddevold 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Osters IF at home

Record (W-D-L)
7-1-5
Win rate
54%
Goals for / match
1.38
Goals against / match
1.23
Clean sheets
6 of 13
  • They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Oddevold away

Record (W-D-L)
5-5-3
Win rate
38%
Goals for / match
1.54
Goals against / match
1.38
Clean sheets
5 of 13
  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Osters IF at home only, Oddevold away only.

Expected lineups

Osters IF lineup

  1. 1 C. Lundahl Persson
  2. 14 D. Olsson
  3. 9 K. Jawla
  4. 18 K. Marrah
  5. 5 M. Adolfsson
  6. 29 M. Due Grandt
  7. 19 M. Tamminen
  8. 6 N. Söderberg
  9. 10 O. Uddenäs
  10. 4 S. Hedlund
  11. 15 T. Varmanen

Bench: K. Gyamfi, D. Ask, R. Adjei, H. Pijaca, V. Lind, M. Hartmann, W. Thellsson

Oddevold lineup

  1. 16 D. Awaka
  2. 15 E. Forsberg
  3. 5 E. Mehmed
  4. 18 G. Forssell
  5. 14 G. Sandberg
  6. 6 J. Merbom-Adolfsson
  7. 10 L. Farah Shahin
  8. 12 M. Sætra
  9. 8 O. Iglicar Berntsson
  10. 21 O. Thoreson
  11. 7 V. Sundberg

Bench: R. Vikström, D. Krezic, E. Gono, O. Kjellman Olblad, A. Engelbrektsson, A. Bitiqi, J. Nikko, F. Lantz, F. Järlesand

Osters IF vs Oddevold head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Osters IF 3 · draws 2 · Oddevold 0.

Osters IFDrawsOddevold
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-20Oddevold1-2Osters IFSuperettan
2024-10-06Oddevold1-1Osters IFSuperettan
2024-05-10Osters IF3-0OddevoldSuperettan
2016-10-08Osters IF1-1OddevoldEttan - Södra
2016-05-29Oddevold0-1Osters IFEttan - Södra

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Before and after this match