Updated

Superettan · Matchday 26

Norrby IF vs Osters IF

· Borås Arena, Boras· Referee Rambod Beigi

Full time2 – 0

Alin prediction was Norrby IF to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Norrby IFDrawOsters IF

Norrby IF vs Osters IF: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceNorrby IFDrawOsters IF
Model31%30%40%
Market46%25%29%
Published42%26%32%
Edge-4%+1%+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Norrby IF vs Osters IF odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Norrby IF, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 2.06Now 1.99 -0.07
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Norrby IF2.061.99-0.07
Draw3.703.72+0.02
Osters IF3.003.12+0.12

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Norrby IF and Osters IF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.14Norrby IF
1.32Osters IF
Total expected goals
2.46
Attack rating (Norrby IF / Osters IF)
0.73 / 1.14
Defence rating (Norrby IF / Osters IF)
0.88 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Norrby IF vs Osters IF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.8% 10.0% 7.5% 3.3% 1.5% 1 8.4% 14.1% 8.5% 3.7% 1.7% 2 5.5% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.9% 3 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 4+ 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Norrby IF goals. Columns: Osters IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Norrby IF vs Osters IF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 23%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Norrby IF vs Osters IF

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Norrby IF42%2.37
Draw26%3.86
Osters IF32%3.14
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545%2.24
Under 2.555%1.81
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.95
No49%2.05
Double chance1X (Norrby IF or draw)68%1.47
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Osters IF)58%1.73
Handicap -1Norrby IF win by 2+13%7.72
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Norrby IF and Osters IF recent form

Norrby IF 1W 1D 4L
Osters IF 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Norrby IF at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-5-4
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.58
Clean sheets
1 of 12
  • They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Osters IF away

Record (W-D-L)
4-2-6
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
1 of 12
  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Norrby IF at home only, Osters IF away only.

Expected lineups

Norrby IF lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 S. Banožić
  2. 17 T. Spendler
  3. 3 J. Engvall
  4. 5 V. Svendsén
  5. 14 O. Backlund
  6. 10 J. Bichis
  7. 16 F. Gustafsson
  8. 18 C. Axede
  9. 7 J. Johansson
  10. 28 H. Tilly
  11. 11 K. Liimatainen

Bench: D. Bendrik, A. Nedzibovic, J. Hjalmar, M. Wester, A. Yusuf, T. Svensson Lillvik, I. Adewale, E. Ferreira, Mouritaza Houmadi

Osters IF lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 C. Lundahl Persson
  2. 14 D. Olsson
  3. 4 S. Hedlund
  4. 3 K. Gyamfi
  5. 15 T. Varmanen
  6. 17 H. Pijaca
  7. 8 D. Ask
  8. 11 F. Olsson
  9. 6 N. Söderberg
  10. 10 O. Uddenäs
  11. 19 M. Tamminen

Bench: M. Adolfsson, Isak Järdler, R. Adjei, K. Marrah, N. Ayorinde, M. Due Grandt, M. Hartmann, W. Thellsson

Norrby IF vs Osters IF head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Norrby IF 3 · draws 2 · Osters IF 4.

Norrby IFDrawsOsters IF
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-30Osters IF2-1Norrby IFSuperettan
2022-10-29Norrby IF2-0Osters IFSuperettan
2022-05-07Osters IF2-0Norrby IFSuperettan
2021-10-23Norrby IF0-0Osters IFSuperettan
2021-06-05Osters IF0-0Norrby IFSuperettan
2020-10-11Norrby IF0-2Osters IFSuperettan
2020-06-17Osters IF2-1Norrby IFSuperettan
2019-07-27Norrby IF3-1Osters IFSuperettan
2019-04-29Osters IF0-1Norrby IFSuperettan

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Before and after this match