Oddevold vs United Nordic: model vs market
| Source | Oddevold | Draw | United Nordic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Published | 47% | 25% | 27% |
| Edge | +4% | 0% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Oddevold below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Oddevold vs United Nordic odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Oddevold, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oddevold | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.64 | +0.02 |
| United Nordic | 3.22 | 3.24 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Oddevold and United Nordic expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Oddevold / United Nordic)
- 0.95 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Oddevold / United Nordic)
- 0.91 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Oddevold vs United Nordic score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Oddevold goals. Columns: United Nordic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Oddevold vs United Nordic goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Oddevold vs United Nordic
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oddevold | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| United Nordic | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Oddevold or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or United Nordic) | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Oddevold win by 2+ | 28% | 3.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Oddevold and United Nordic recent form
Oddevold
3W 1D 2L
United Nordic
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Oddevold at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- 51% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
United Nordic away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Oddevold at home only, United Nordic away only.
Oddevold vs United Nordic head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Oddevold 0 · draws 1 · United Nordic 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | United Nordic | 3-3 | Oddevold | Superettan |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC 2026-10-10
- Norrby IF v Osters IF — match page 2026-10-10
- Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK 2026-10-11
- IFK Varnamo v Falkenbergs FF — match page 2026-10-11
- IK brage vs Helsingborg — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall 2026-10-13