Updated

Superettan · Matchday 26

Oddevold vs United Nordic

· Rimnersvallen, Uddevalla· Referee Fredrik Alknas

Full time2 – 0

Alin prediction was Oddevold to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
OddevoldDrawUnited Nordic

Oddevold vs United Nordic: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOddevoldDrawUnited Nordic
Model50%26%24%
Market52%24%24%
Published52%24%24%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.15.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Oddevold vs United Nordic odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Oddevold, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 2.00Now 1.77 -0.23
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Oddevold2.001.77-0.23
Draw3.623.87+0.25
United Nordic3.223.85+0.63

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Oddevold and United Nordic expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.76Oddevold
1.15United Nordic
Total expected goals
2.91
Attack rating (Oddevold / United Nordic)
0.95 / 0.97
Defence rating (Oddevold / United Nordic)
0.91 / 1.18

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Oddevold vs United Nordic score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.6% 5.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 1 8.5% 12.1% 6.4% 2.4% 0.9% 2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.8% 3 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5% 4+ 3.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Rows: Oddevold goals. Columns: United Nordic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Oddevold vs United Nordic goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Oddevold vs United Nordic

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Oddevold52%1.93
Draw24%4.11
United Nordic24%4.18
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.80
Under 2.544%2.25
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.73
No42%2.37
Double chance1X (Oddevold or draw)76%1.31
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or United Nordic)48%2.07
Handicap -1Oddevold win by 2+28%3.53
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Oddevold and United Nordic recent form

Oddevold 3W 1D 2L
United Nordic 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Oddevold at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-4-4
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
3 of 12
  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • 51% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

United Nordic away

Record (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
3 of 12
  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Oddevold at home only, United Nordic away only.

Expected lineups

Oddevold lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 12 M. Sætra
  2. 5 E. Mehmed
  3. 22 O. Cotton
  4. 6 J. Merbom-Adolfsson
  5. 8 O. Iglicar Berntsson
  6. 15 E. Forsberg
  7. 14 G. Sandberg
  8. 19 H. Engström
  9. 9 R. Vikström
  10. 10 L. Farah Shahin
  11. 18 G. Forssell

Bench: V. Sundberg, D. Krezic, D. Awaka, O. Kjellman Olblad, O. Thoreson, A. Bitiqi, J. Nikko, F. Lantz, F. Järlesand

United Nordic lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 A. Melkemichel
  2. 20 A. Harabi
  3. 4 L. Abadid
  4. 77 J. Gürsac
  5. 12 S. Davis
  6. 8 A. Lindgren
  7. 6 G. Aphrem
  8. 21 E. Swedi
  9. 16 N. Daneyl
  10. 11 A. Fisic
  11. 74 C. Aphrem

Bench: L. Ygberg, N. Issa, L. Nesvik-Andersson, Yaqoob Ghazala Fahad Sinan

Oddevold vs United Nordic head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Oddevold 0 · draws 1 · United Nordic 0.

OddevoldDrawsUnited Nordic
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-06-27United Nordic3-3OddevoldSuperettan

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Before and after this match