Updated

Superettan · Matchday 26

Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken

· Landskrona IP, Landskrona· Referee Jasmin Svraka

Full time3 – 2

Alin prediction was Landskrona BoIS to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Landskrona BoISDrawSandviken

Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLandskrona BoISDrawSandviken
Model51%26%23%
Market52%24%24%
Published52%24%24%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Landskrona BoIS, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 1.84Now 1.77 -0.07
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Landskrona BoIS1.841.77-0.07
Draw3.713.87+0.15
Sandviken3.693.90+0.21

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Landskrona BoIS and Sandviken expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.74Landskrona BoIS
1.12Sandviken
Total expected goals
2.86
Attack rating (Landskrona BoIS / Sandviken)
1.25 / 1.17
Defence rating (Landskrona BoIS / Sandviken)
0.73 / 0.89

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.8% 5.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 1 8.8% 12.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.8% 2 8.6% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 3 5.0% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 4+ 3.2% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%

Rows: Landskrona BoIS goals. Columns: Sandviken goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Landskrona BoIS52%1.93
Draw24%4.09
Sandviken24%4.22
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.84
Under 2.546%2.20
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.76
No43%2.31
Double chance1X (Landskrona BoIS or draw)76%1.31
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Sandviken)48%2.08
Handicap -1Landskrona BoIS win by 2+28%3.53
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Landskrona BoIS and Sandviken recent form

Landskrona BoIS 3W 2D 1L
Sandviken 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Landskrona BoIS at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.42
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
4 of 12
  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sandviken away

Record (W-D-L)
3-4-5
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.17
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
3 of 12
  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Landskrona BoIS at home only, Sandviken away only.

Expected lineups

Landskrona BoIS lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 30 M. Pettersson
  2. 3 G. Westström
  3. 6 T. Karlsson
  4. 26 A. Murbeck
  5. 4 G. Bruzelius
  6. 5 A. Egnell
  7. 18 A. Pérez
  8. 23 Z. Loukili
  9. 10 C. Capotondi
  10. 21 K. Jensen

Bench: A. Andersson, Allen Smajl Smajić, E. Sylisufaj, E. Moungam, Kota Sakurai, M. Mohamed, M. Milosevic, E. Hebibovic

Sandviken lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 H. Sveijer
  2. 17 W. Nilsson
  3. 2 G. Thörn
  4. 23 K. Harletun
  5. 26 L. Tagesson
  6. 15 F. Andersson
  7. 22 D. Bergman
  8. 12 A. Carleton
  9. 14 M. Mahammed
  10. 11 V. Backman
  11. 7 J. Arvidsson

Bench: N. Geiger, L. Vabö, K. Bohm, I. Lindholm, M. Abubakari, C. Rogers, O. Lindell

Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Landskrona BoIS 5 · draws 0 · Sandviken 1.

Landskrona BoISDrawsSandviken
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-24Sandviken0-1Landskrona BoISSuperettan
2026-03-07Landskrona BoIS3-2SandvikenSvenska Cupen
2025-08-17Sandviken0-1Landskrona BoISSuperettan
2025-04-26Landskrona BoIS1-0SandvikenSuperettan
2024-08-18Sandviken2-0Landskrona BoISSuperettan
2024-03-31Landskrona BoIS4-0SandvikenSuperettan

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Before and after this match