Updated

Superettan · Matchday 27

Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS

· Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg· Referee Rinon Hasani

Full time4 – 3

Alin prediction was Falkenbergs FF to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Falkenbergs FFDrawLandskrona BoIS

Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFalkenbergs FFDrawLandskrona BoIS
Model39%27%34%
Market38%27%35%
Published38%27%35%
Edge0%0%0%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Falkenbergs FF, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 2.20Now 2.43 +0.23
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Falkenbergs FF2.202.43+0.23
Draw3.453.42-0.03
Landskrona BoIS2.982.66-0.32

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Falkenbergs FF and Landskrona BoIS expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.50Falkenbergs FF
1.41Landskrona BoIS
Total expected goals
2.91
Attack rating (Falkenbergs FF / Landskrona BoIS)
1.18 / 1.32
Defence rating (Falkenbergs FF / Landskrona BoIS)
0.82 / 0.82

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.6% 6.5% 5.4% 2.5% 1.2% 1 7.0% 12.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.8% 2 6.2% 8.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.4% 3 3.1% 4.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.7% 4+ 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%

Rows: Falkenbergs FF goals. Columns: Landskrona BoIS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Falkenbergs FF38%2.62
Draw27%3.70
Landskrona BoIS35%2.88
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.80
Under 2.544%2.26
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.67
No40%2.49
Double chance1X (Falkenbergs FF or draw)65%1.53
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Landskrona BoIS)62%1.62
Handicap -1Falkenbergs FF win by 2+19%5.18
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Falkenbergs FF and Landskrona BoIS recent form

Falkenbergs FF 4W 1D 1L
Landskrona BoIS 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Falkenbergs FF at home

Record (W-D-L)
7-4-2
Win rate
54%
Goals for / match
1.54
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
4 of 13
  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Landskrona BoIS away

Record (W-D-L)
7-2-4
Win rate
54%
Goals for / match
1.69
Goals against / match
1.08
Clean sheets
3 of 13
  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Falkenbergs FF at home only, Landskrona BoIS away only.

Expected lineups

Falkenbergs FF lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 A. Andersson
  2. 12 A. Rupia-Ellis
  3. 23 A. Salo
  4. 17 A. Miftari
  5. 6 L. Borgström
  6. 10 E. Mohammad
  7. 28 M. Nilsson
  8. 18 Lassina Sangare
  9. 19 O. Lindberg
  10. 11 H. Källström
  11. 9 Albin Andersson

Bench: T. Stålheden, N. Hansson, N. Bertilsson, W. Videhult, L. Beqiri, T. Fritiofsson, Gazton Alexandersson, H. Komano, G. Lillienberg

Landskrona BoIS lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 30 M. Pettersson
  2. 3 G. Westström
  3. 6 T. Karlsson
  4. 26 A. Murbeck
  5. 4 G. Bruzelius
  6. 23 Z. Loukili
  7. 13 Kota Sakurai
  8. 5 A. Egnell
  9. 10 C. Capotondi
  10. 21 K. Jensen

Bench: Amr Kaddoura, S. Ojala, Allen Smajl Smajić, E. Sylisufaj, E. Moungam, M. Mohamed, R. Arabaci, M. Milosevic, E. Hebibovic

Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Falkenbergs FF 5 · draws 2 · Landskrona BoIS 3.

Falkenbergs FFDrawsLandskrona BoIS
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-11Falkenbergs FF1-2Landskrona BoISFriendlies Clubs
2026-04-12Landskrona BoIS1-2Falkenbergs FFSuperettan
2026-03-21Falkenbergs FF4-1Landskrona BoISFriendlies Clubs
2026-03-03Landskrona BoIS3-3Falkenbergs FFFriendlies Clubs
2025-07-27Falkenbergs FF1-1Landskrona BoISSuperettan
2025-05-26Landskrona BoIS0-3Falkenbergs FFSuperettan
2025-02-01Landskrona BoIS0-4Falkenbergs FFFriendlies Clubs
2024-08-22Falkenbergs FF0-2Landskrona BoISSvenska Cupen
2021-09-29Falkenbergs FF2-1Landskrona BoISSuperettan
2021-05-18Landskrona BoIS2-1Falkenbergs FFSuperettan

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Before and after this match