United Nordic vs Norrby IF preview
In the fixture between United Nordic and Norrby IF, the 1X2 probabilities show Norrby IF at 39% and United Nordic at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% chance according to our model.
Norrby IF's recent form includes 1 win and 5 losses, while United Nordic has 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Both teams to score has a 50% chance, and Over 2.5 goals sits at 43%. The expected goals are 1.11 for United Nordic and 1.28 for Norrby IF. A draw is possible given the recent form and head-to-head record, where United Nordic has 0 wins and 1 draw against Norrby IF.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF: model vs market
| Source | United Nordic | Draw | Norrby IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 25% | 38% |
| Published | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Edge | -5% | +5% | +1% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.67, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Norrby IF, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Nordic | 2.20 | 2.52 | +0.32 |
| Draw | 3.73 | 3.63 | -0.10 |
| Norrby IF | 2.80 | 2.41 | -0.39 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
United Nordic and Norrby IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (United Nordic / Norrby IF)
- 0.90 / 0.82
- Defence rating (United Nordic / Norrby IF)
- 1.20 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: United Nordic goals. Columns: Norrby IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for United Nordic vs Norrby IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | United Nordic | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Norrby IF | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (United Nordic or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Norrby IF) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Norrby IF win by 2+ | 18% | 5.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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United Nordic and Norrby IF recent form
United Nordic
1W 1D 4L
Norrby IF
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
United Nordic at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.77
- Goals against / match
- 1.92
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Norrby IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-7-5
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 0.77
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: United Nordic at home only, Norrby IF away only.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: United Nordic 0 · draws 1 · Norrby IF 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Norrby IF | 0-0 | United Nordic | Superettan |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
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- Sandviken v Ostersunds FK — match page 2026-10-17
- Osters IF vs Oddevold 2026-10-17
- GIF Sundsvall v IFK Varnamo — match page 2026-10-18
- Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK — team news & stats 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- United Nordic, previous: Oddevold – United Nordic, 2026-10-10
- United Nordic, next: Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic: odds and pick
- Norrby IF, previous: Norrby IF vs Osters IF prediction