Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall preview
In the Superettan fixture between Oddevold and GIF Sundsvall, the 1X2 probabilities show Oddevold at 72%, while GIF Sundsvall stands at just 9%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, with a 14% chance of occurring. Oddevold's expected goals are 2.21, which suggests they are likely to dominate the match.
However, Oddevold's recent form includes two losses in their last six games, which could impact their performance. Additionally, GIF Sundsvall has shown some resilience with two wins in their last three matches. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals sit at 55%, and both teams to score is at 44%, indicating potential for a more competitive match than the numbers suggest.
Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall: model vs market
| Source | Oddevold | Draw | GIF Sundsvall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Published | 67% | 21% | 13% |
| Edge | +7% | -2% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 0.67.
- The market prices Oddevold below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update.
Oddevold and GIF Sundsvall expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.88
- Attack rating (Oddevold / GIF Sundsvall)
- 0.99 / 0.61
- Defence rating (Oddevold / GIF Sundsvall)
- 0.84 / 1.43
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Oddevold goals. Columns: GIF Sundsvall goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oddevold | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.86 | |
| GIF Sundsvall | 13% | 7.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.27 |
| No | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Oddevold or draw) | 87% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or GIF Sundsvall) | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Handicap -1 | Oddevold win by 2+ | 49% | 2.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Oddevold and GIF Sundsvall recent form
Oddevold
3W 1D 2L
GIF Sundsvall
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Oddevold at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GIF Sundsvall away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-11
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 0.38
- Goals against / match
- 2.23
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Oddevold at home only, GIF Sundsvall away only.
Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Oddevold 2 · draws 0 · GIF Sundsvall 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | GIF Sundsvall | 1-3 | Oddevold | Superettan |
| 2025-08-25 | GIF Sundsvall | 0-1 | Oddevold | Superettan |
| 2025-04-26 | Oddevold | 1-2 | GIF Sundsvall | Superettan |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Ostersunds FK v United Nordic — match page 2026-10-24
- IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken 2026-10-24
- IK brage vs Osters IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Oddevold, previous: Osters IF vs Oddevold: odds and pick
- GIF Sundsvall, previous: GIF Sundsvall v IFK Varnamo analysis