Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens preview
In the Challenge League fixture between Étoile Carouge and SC Kriens, the 1X2 probabilities show Étoile Carouge at 40%, SC Kriens at 34%, with a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 7% probability. Étoile Carouge has an expected goals total of 1.26, while SC Kriens has a higher expected goals figure of 1.61.
Both teams show mixed recent form, with Étoile Carouge recording one win in their last six matches, while SC Kriens has two draws in their last three games. The model predicts a 55% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score. These factors could shift if either team improves their current form or if defensive errors occur during the match.
Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens: model vs market
| Source | Étoile Carouge | Draw | SC Kriens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Published | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Étoile Carouge, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | 2.12 | 2.12 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.63 | 3.63 | +0.00 |
| SC Kriens | 2.97 | 2.97 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Étoile Carouge and SC Kriens expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Étoile Carouge / SC Kriens)
- 0.67 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Étoile Carouge / SC Kriens)
- 1.08 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Étoile Carouge goals. Columns: SC Kriens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Étoile Carouge | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| SC Kriens | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Étoile Carouge or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or SC Kriens) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Étoile Carouge win by 2+ | 13% | 7.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Étoile Carouge and SC Kriens recent form
Étoile Carouge
1W 1D 4L
SC Kriens
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Étoile Carouge at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
SC Kriens away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Étoile Carouge at home only, SC Kriens away only.
Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Étoile Carouge 2 · draws 0 · SC Kriens 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | SC Kriens | 4-1 | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| 2024-03-09 | SC Kriens | 1-3 | Étoile Carouge | 1. Liga Promotion |
| 2023-09-03 | Étoile Carouge | 4-0 | SC Kriens | 1. Liga Promotion |
| 2023-04-15 | SC Kriens | 2-0 | Étoile Carouge | 1. Liga Promotion |
| 2022-10-08 | Étoile Carouge | 0-2 | SC Kriens | 1. Liga Promotion |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport 2026-10-30
- Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau 2026-10-30
- FC WIL 1900 v FC Winterthur — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Étoile Carouge, previous: FC Aarau v Étoile Carouge analysis
- SC Kriens, previous: Yverdon Sport v SC Kriens analysis