Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais preview
Rapperswil faces Stade Nyonnais with a 64% chance of winning, compared to Stade Nyonnais's 17%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Rapperswil's expected goals of 2.70 against Stade Nyonnais's 0.99. Rapperswil's recent form shows they have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Stade Nyonnais has lost 5 of their last 6.
The prediction of 2-0 could be challenged if Stade Nyonnais manages to improve their performance, as they have a 59% chance of both teams scoring. Additionally, with a 71% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals, an unexpected offensive display from Stade Nyonnais could shift the match dynamics.
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais: model vs market
| Source | Rapperswil | Draw | Stade Nyonnais |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Published | 64% | 20% | 17% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapperswil below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rapperswil, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil | 1.50 | 1.51 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.35 | +0.05 |
| Stade Nyonnais | 4.90 | 4.92 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rapperswil and Stade Nyonnais expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.68
- Attack rating (Rapperswil / Stade Nyonnais)
- 1.02 / 0.64
- Defence rating (Rapperswil / Stade Nyonnais)
- 1.12 / 1.58
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rapperswil goals. Columns: Stade Nyonnais goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapperswil | 64% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.03 | |
| Stade Nyonnais | 17% | 6.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rapperswil or draw) | 83% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Stade Nyonnais) | 36% | 2.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapperswil win by 2+ | 53% | 1.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rapperswil and Stade Nyonnais recent form
Rapperswil
2W 1D 3L
Stade Nyonnais
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rapperswil at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stade Nyonnais away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 3.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rapperswil at home only, Stade Nyonnais away only.
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Rapperswil 3 · draws 0 · Stade Nyonnais 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Stade Nyonnais | 1-2 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2026-05-15 | Rapperswil | 2-1 | Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| 2026-03-20 | Stade Nyonnais | 2-1 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2025-10-17 | Rapperswil | 1-0 | Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| 2025-08-01 | Stade Nyonnais | 1-0 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport 2026-10-30
- Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau 2026-10-30
- Étoile Carouge v SC Kriens — match page 2026-10-30
- FC WIL 1900 v FC Winterthur — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Rapperswil, previous: FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil: odds and pick
- Stade Nyonnais, previous: FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais prediction