FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur preview
In the Challenge League fixture, FC WIL 1900 faces FC Winterthur with 32% chances for a home win and 44% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, reflecting the expected goals of 1.52 for FC WIL 1900 and 1.80 for FC Winterthur.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model predicting 66% for both teams to score and 64% for Over 2.5 goals. However, FC WIL 1900's recent form includes 2 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance against a strong FC Winterthur side that has won 4 of their last 6 games.
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur: model vs market
| Source | FC WIL 1900 | Draw | FC Winterthur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Published | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Winterthur, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900 | 3.25 | 3.27 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.79 | +0.06 |
| FC Winterthur | 1.91 | 1.91 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.31
- Attack rating (FC WIL 1900 / FC Winterthur)
- 1.16 / 1.17
- Defence rating (FC WIL 1900 / FC Winterthur)
- 1.11 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC WIL 1900 goals. Columns: FC Winterthur goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC WIL 1900 | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | |
| FC Winterthur | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC WIL 1900 or draw) | 53% | 1.88 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Winterthur) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Winterthur win by 2+ | 24% | 4.20 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur recent form
FC WIL 1900
2W 3D 1L
FC Winterthur
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC WIL 1900 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Winterthur away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FC WIL 1900 at home only, FC Winterthur away only.
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: FC WIL 1900 0 · draws 0 · FC Winterthur 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | FC Winterthur | 5-0 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport 2026-10-30
- Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau 2026-10-30
- Étoile Carouge v SC Kriens — match page 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- FC WIL 1900, previous: FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil: odds and pick
- FC Winterthur, previous: FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais prediction