Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC preview
In the Challenge League fixture, Yverdon Sport faces Neuchatel Xamax FC with a 64% probability for Yverdon to win and a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). Yverdon's expected goals stand at 2.33, while Neuchatel's is significantly lower at 1.08. This suggests a strong attacking performance from Yverdon.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Neuchatel Xamax FC finds a way to score, as both teams to score has a probability of 61%. Additionally, Yverdon's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 6 matches. A draw is also a possibility with a 20% probability, which could impact the expected outcome.
Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: model vs market
| Source | Yverdon Sport | Draw | Neuchatel Xamax FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 21% |
| Published | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.08.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Yverdon Sport, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.02 | -0.03 |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Yverdon Sport and Neuchatel Xamax FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.41
- Attack rating (Yverdon Sport / Neuchatel Xamax FC)
- 1.32 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Yverdon Sport / Neuchatel Xamax FC)
- 0.86 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Yverdon Sport goals. Columns: Neuchatel Xamax FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yverdon Sport | 59% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 19% | 5.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Yverdon Sport or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Neuchatel Xamax FC) | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Yverdon Sport win by 2+ | 43% | 2.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Yverdon Sport and Neuchatel Xamax FC recent form
Yverdon Sport
3W 1D 2L
Neuchatel Xamax FC
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Yverdon Sport at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Neuchatel Xamax FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Yverdon Sport at home only, Neuchatel Xamax FC away only.
Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Yverdon Sport 8 · draws 2 · Neuchatel Xamax FC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1-2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| 2026-04-22 | Yverdon Sport | 2-2 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| 2026-02-03 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1-2 | Yverdon Sport | Schweizer Cup |
| 2026-01-25 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1-2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| 2025-11-07 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 2-2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| 2025-08-31 | Yverdon Sport | 3-1 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| 2023-04-07 | Yverdon Sport | 2-0 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| 2023-03-12 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1-2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| 2022-11-25 | Yverdon Sport | 3-1 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| 2022-08-05 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 2-3 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- SC Kriens v Rapperswil — match page 2026-11-06
- Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- FC Aarau vs FC WIL 1900 — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Yverdon Sport, previous: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Yverdon Sport analysis
- Neuchatel Xamax FC, previous: Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau: odds and pick